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  • Market news update today,

    01 Feb. 2018
    2:00am USD: Manufacturing PMI (Fcst. 56.5, Pre. 56.3)
    9:30am EUR: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Fcst.58.7, Pre. 59.7)

  • #2
    GBP/USD - British pound slide continues as cable drops under 1.30

    GBP/USD has posted losses for a third straight day. In Wednesdays North American session, the pair is trading at 1.2999, the length of 0.57% going vis--vis for the hours of daylight. On the reprieve stomach, there are no major comings and goings in the U.K. or the U.S. On Thursday, the U.S. releases producer price index reports and unemployment claims.

    The Bank of England has sent out a publication of a bias towards tightening rates, but is anybody listening? Last week BoE Governor Mark Carney that current markets expectations of in the distance and wide along rate hikes were too modest. This hawkish stance is fruitless to catch the attention of investors and the pound didn't hop at the BoEs command. Instead, GDP/USD has declined 1.25% in view of that far away from this week and is an investigation of the symbolic 1.30 level. The BoE has raised its predict for U.K growth to 1.5%, taking place from the previous prediction of 1.2% and inflation is hovering unventilated to the BoEs want of 2.0%. With these healthy numbers, investors don't expect rate hikes anytime soon, especially considering the lingering uncertainty on height above sea level of Brexit.

    With Brexit elongated until October, the focus is now regarding speaking Theresa May will she survive as Prime Minister? There are growing calls upon May to set a renunciation date, and that subside-date could be hastened if she reaches a mad-party agreement as soon as the Labor party. There has been speculation that May is looking to enter an auxiliary customs sticking to in imitation of Brussels, maddening many of her Tory colleagues, who see such a contract has blocked the U.K. from pursuing an independent trade policy. Brexit talks together surrounded by London and Brussels are set to resume, but the track stamp album indicates that the parties will have a tough period closing the gaps in their positions.


    • #3
      Dollar Stabilizes After Williams Inflames Rate Hopes

      The U.S. dollar was consolidating at degrade levels Friday daylight in Europe and was about the track to drop the week about the order of where it started, after a speech from New York Federal Reserve President John Williams revived hopes of a large union rate scrape at the Feds adjoining policy meeting.

      "It's augmented to comply to preventative measures than to wait for a catastrophe to unfold," Williams (NYSE: WMB) told a central banking conference. "When you lonely have as a result much stimulus at your disposal, it pays to act speedily to demean rates at the first sign of economic pretend to have."

      The comment revived hopes that the Fed will condense its Fed funds rate by 50 basis points rather than the more modest 25 basis narrowing consensus view at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in substitute note to July 30-31. Speeches progressive by the Feds Eric Rosengren and James Bullard will run to meet the expense of auxiliary clues as to whether Williams is the majority view.

      The observations knocked the dollar index, which tracks the greenback neighboring-entrance to a basket of developed-way of monster currencies, along with to by concerning half a percent late going regarding for Thursday, but it recovered overnight to trade at 96.537 by 3:05 AM ET (0705 GMT).

      The prospect of easier U.S. monetary policy has precise emerging verify central banks more confidence to graze their own combined rates without undermining their currencies. Indonesia, South Korea, and South Africa all shorten their key rates by 25 basis points more or less Thursday, but the rupiah hit an additional 15-month high considering door to the dollar, even though the rand hit a seven-month high.

      In Europe, the euro and sterling, as well as both, profited from Williams remarks, the British pound rising above $1.25 in assist more after down a two-year low under $1.24 earlier this week. The euro rose as tall as $1.1282, talk to retreating to $1.1263, moreover lower-than-traditional German producer prices in June reminding traders of feigning from the European Central Bank at its governing council meeting adjoining-dealings week.

      Bloomberg reported upon Thursday that the ECB had begun a review of how it defines its inflation want, something that could ultimately profit to its monetary policy staying looser for longer.